Mortgage Rates Rise Slightly Heading Into The Weekend

Interest Rates

After two days of significant improvements, Mortgage Rates took a measured
step back today.  Best-Execution rates
rose about an eighth of a point,
but in some cases, your rate may not have
changed at all today-merely your closing cost quote.

(temporary caveat that we’ll probably repeat a few more times): Please keep in mind that lenders simply cannot move mortgage rates lower
at the same pace as a rapid rally in Benchmark Treasuries. 
you might hear talking heads on TV or read articles saying that mortgage rates
are tied to Treasuries, THEY ARE NOT, and you’ll be perennially
frustrated if you expect them to be.  We explained that in greater detail
earlier in the month:(Why
aren’t rates getting lower as fast as Treasuries). 

Today’s Rates:  The current market is in a state of flux at the
moment and mortgage rates moving up and down around ALL TIME LOWS.  BestExecution
30yr Fixed rates were mostly near 3.875% today, with a higher than normal
degree of variation around there.  FHA/VA
deals are in a bit of a predicament that’s keeping them blocked off below 3.75%
(there’s no secondary market for rates any lower than that right now!).  For
similar reasons, 15 year fixed conventional loans may be stuck at 3.25%.  5
year ARMS remain near 3.125%, but with variations from lender to lender.

GUIDANCE:  Yesterday’s
was really excellent.  As
feared, we saw plenty of “pipeline control” price changes among
lenders, and that was exacerbated today by weakness in the bond market.  Strategically (longer term, bigger picture),
locking when the Best-Execution rate is 3.875% makes a ton of sense.  Even on a shorter term outlook, the broader
shift that’s taken place behind the scenes in the secondary mortgage market
suggests a range of rates between 3.75 and 4.125.  So right now it’s leaning slightly to the
more aggressive side.  If there was any
better time in history to lock a loan than today, it was yesterday.  We don’t know what sort of opportunities will
be available next week, and although we think rates will be relatively low for
a while, we’re not sure it’s worth the risk to float for marginal gains when we’re
only an eighth or two away from some of the most aggressive offers yesterday (and consequently, of all-time).


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