Delinquency Increase is Seasonal- Black Knight

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Mortgage delinquencies rose slightly
in July; a change Black Knight Financial Services sees as seasonal.  The number of mortgages that were 30 or more
days past due but not in foreclosure rose by 108,000 from June, pushing the delinquency
rate up by 4.78 percent to 4.51 percent.  Black Knight, in its “first look” at the month’s
mortgage performance statistics, says months that end on a Sunday, as July did,
usually see an increase in non-performance followed by a decline the following
month. On a year-over year basis the rate is down by 3.38 percent and there are
70,000 fewer loans in delinquent status although the total of loans that are 30
days past due but not in foreclosure remains at an elevated level of 2.29
million.

Seriously delinquent loans, 90 or
more days past due but not yet in foreclosure, also increased by 3,000
month-over-month to 695,000.  This is
down 147,000 loans from a year earlier.

The foreclosure inventory, homes
that are somewhere in the official foreclosure process, is down 28.36 percent
from July 2015 to 550,000 units.  This is
a decrease of 8,000 properties in one month and 214,000 over the course of one
year.

There were 61,300 foreclosure starts
in July, down 12 percent from June and the second lowest number in 10 years.

At the end of the reporting period
there were 2.84 million properties that were 30 or more days past due or in
foreclosure, up 100,000 from June but 284,000 fewer than in July 2015.

The non-performing mortgage rate
remains highest in Mississippi at 11.67 percent but that rate has eased more
than 7 percent over the last year. 
Louisiana was second at 9.63 percent followed by New Jersey, West
Virginia, and Alabama, all in the 8 percent range. 

All three of the states that saw the
largest deterioration in mortgage performance over the previous six months have
a large stake in the energy sector. 
North Dakota saw a 6.21 percent change in its non-current mortgage to
2.56 percent followed by Alaska, up 4.72 percent, and Wyoming up 2.27 percent.

Prepayment activity fell in July despite overall
growth in the number of refinance candidates and 30-year interest rates that
remained at or below 3.45 percent for much of the month.  The prepayment or SMM rate was 1.26 percent,
down 11.98 percent from June and 1.0 percent compared to a year earlier.

Black Knight will report other July mortgage data in
its Mortgage Monitor, scheduled for release on or before September 6.

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