Home Price Gains Continue to Slow

CoreLogic said today that month-over-month
increases in home prices slowed to fractional numbers in October even as
year-over-year increases continued for the 20th consecutive
month.  The company’s Home Price Index
(HPI)
which includes both equity and distressed sales was up 0.2 percent from
September to October and was 12.5 percent higher than one year earlier.

Increases in the HPI peaked in April
when prices rose 2.68 percent on a month-over-month basis.  The increases have slowed every month
since.  The increase from July to August was
0.67 percent and from August to September 0.5 percent.  

CoreLogic’s HPI which excludes
distressed sales increased by 0.4 percent in October and by 11.0 percent
compared to October 2012.  Distressed
sales include short sales and sales of lender-owned (REO) property

Nine states had annual price
increases (including distressed sales) that exceeded the national HPI.  Nevada continued to lead with the largest
increase at 25.9 percent followed by California (22.4 percent,) Georgia (14.2
percent,) Michigan (14.1 percent,) and Arizona (14.0 percent.)  New Mexico was the only state where this HPI
depreciated from one year ago, declining by a half percent.

 

 

The HPI excluding distressed sales
increased across all states with eleven having increases above the national
average. Nevada and California were also number one and two on this scale with
increases of 22.5 percent and 18.5 percent respectively.  Utah’s HPI increased by 13.3 percent, Florida’s
by 13 percent, and New York by 12.4 percent.

The HPI including distressed
transactions
is now 17.3 percent below the peak reached in April 2006, and the
HPI excluding distressed sales is 13.1 percent lower.   The
five states which are still posting the largest declines from their respective peaks
are, in declining order, Nevada, Florida, Arizona, Rhode Island, and West
Virginia.  The changes range from -40.7
percent to -28 percent

Ninety-six of the top 100 Core Based
Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population showed year-over-year
increases in October 2013.  Five CBSAs exceeded
the national average increase; Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario (+24.1
percent), Los Angeles (22.1 percent), Atlanta (16.4 percent), Phoenix (15.9
percent), and Chicago (12.3 percent).

Prices are expected to remain
essentially unchanged
in November according to CoreLogic’s Pending HPI.  The index, based on Multiple Listing Service
Data, indicates that prices including distressed sales will remain at October
levels while the November index is expected to show double digit growth, 12.2
percent, year-over year.  When distressed
sales are excluded the November HPI will increase 0.4 percent from October and
11.3 percent compared to October 2012.

“In October, the year-over-year
appreciation rate remained strong, but the month-over-month appreciation rate
was barely positive, indicating that house price appreciation has slowed as
expected for the winter,” said Dr. Mark Fleming, chief economist for
CoreLogic. “Based on our pending HPI, the monthly growth rate is expected
to moderate even further in November and December. The slowdown in price
appreciation
is positive for the housing market as almost half the states are
now within 10 percent of their respective historical price peaks.”

“In terms of home price
appreciation, the housing market appears to be catching its breath as we head
into the final months of 2013,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO
of CoreLogic. “The deceleration in month-on-month trends was anticipated
as strong gains in home prices over the spring and summer slow in line with
normal seasonal patterns and the impact of higher mortgage interest
rates.”

Article source: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/12032013_corelogic_hpi.asp

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