Market Wrap: Stocks Have Best Day of ’14 After Fed Reassures

News
US-POLITICS-ECONOMY-OBAMA
Jewel Samad/AFP/Getty ImagesInvestors were encouraged Wednesday by the minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting, which indicated that Fed Chair Janet Yellen and the FOMC won’t raise interest rates until the economy can handle it.

NEW YORK — Wall Street had its best day of the year.

The U.S. stock market surged on Wednesday, erasing a steep loss from the day before. Investors were reacting to minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, which showed that the central bank wants to keep interest rates extremely low for the time being.

“There’s a lot of pressure on the Fed right now, so this was a big vote of confidence from investors,” said J.J. Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade.

The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) jumped 274.83 points, or 1.6 percent, to 16,994.22. The Standard Poor’s 500 index (^GPSC) added 33.79 points, or 1.8 percent, to 1,968.89 and the Nasdaq composite (^IXIC) rose 83.39 points, or 1.9 percent, to 4,468.59. All three indexes had their biggest point and percentage gains of 2014.

The jump was the latest whipsaw day for the stock market. Only the day before, the Dow plunged 273 points on fears that the global economy was slowing. Wednesday’s gains only made up for what investors lost on Tuesday.

Volatility has picked up sharply in U.S. stocks in recent days. Dow has had moves of 200 points or more five times in the last 10 days. There have only been 10 other days this year when the index has made moves of that magnitude.

The market is in a tug-of-war between the slowdown in international economies and the strong economic numbers here in the U.S.


Market watchers have been warning for some time now that the market was due to have more volatility, particularly with economic weakness developing in Europe and Asia and with the Federal Reserve on track to end a bond-buying stimulus program later this month. Analysts say investors should expect more big moves in coming weeks.

“I don’t think this is going to end until the Fed’s meeting in October,” said James Liu, a global market strategist at JPMorgan Funds. “The market is in a tug-of-war between the slowdown in international economies and the strong economic numbers here in the U.S.”

The stock market moved between gains and losses for most of the day, then surge in the last two hours of trading after the Fed released its minutes at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

Investors were encouraged by the language in the minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting, which signaled the central bank would only raise interest rates when measures of the economy’s health and inflation signaled the time was right, instead of using a specific date or period.

Investors like low interest rates since they keep the cost of borrowing inexpensive for businesses and individuals, encouraging spending and investment. The Fed also sees inflation remaining low for the next few years, another positive for most investors.

The U.S. economy has been a bright spot in an otherwise darkening picture for the global economy. The IMF cut its outlook for this year and next for global growth, citing weakness in Japan, Latin America and Europe. The IMF expects the global economy will grow 3.3 percent this year, slightly below what it forecast in July. Europe, in particular, has been weak. Germany said Tuesday that its industrial output fell 4 percent in August, far more than expected.

In contrast, reports like September jobs survey show the U.S. economy continuing to expand. Investors have become concerned that Europe’s weakness will eventually drag on the U.S. too.

“I think the U.S. economy could be protected from Europe for a quarter or two, but will start hurting us here eventually,” Kinahan said.

Investors now turn their attention to U.S. companies, who will start reporting their quarterly results en masse in the coming weeks.

Alcoa (AA), the aluminum giant, reported its results after Wednesday’s closing bell, which came in much better than expectations. The Pittsburgh, Pa.-based company reported an adjusted third quarter profit of 31 cents a share, much more than the 21 cents analysts were looking for. Alcoa rose 32 cents, or 2 percent, to $16.39 in after-market trading.

In other company news, Sears Holdings (SHLD), the parent company of Sears and K-mart, dropped $1.45, or 5 percent, to $28.85 following news reports that the company’s vendors have started to halt shipments to the retailer. Sears has struggled for several months and has been selling off assets to raise cash to pay for its expenses.

Gap (GPS) plunged $3.57, or 8.5 percent, to $38.40 in after-market trading after the company announce its CEO Glenn Murphy was stepping down early next year.

In other markets, the price of oil fell to its lowest level in 18 months on lower global demand and high supplies. Benchmark U.S. crude fell $1.54 to close at $87.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, a benchmark for international oils used by many U.S. refineries, fell 73 cents to close at $91.38 on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

In other energy futures trading on the NYMEX, wholesale gasoline fell 5 cents to close at $2.318 a gallon, heating oil fell 3.1 cents to close at $2.576 a gallon and natural gas fell 10.2 cents to close at $3.855 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In metals trading, the price of gold fell $6.40 to $1,206 an ounce. Silver fell 18 cents to $17.06 an ounce and copper fell four cents to $3 a pound.

What to Watch Thursday:

  • Selected chain retailers release September sales.
  • The Labor Department releases weekly jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time.
  • At 10 a.m., the Commerce Department releases wholesale trade inventories for August, and Freddie Mac releases weekly mortgage rates.

These major companies are scheduled to release quarterly financial results:

  • Family Dollar Stores (FDO)
  • Infosys (INFY)
  • PepsiCo (PEP)
  • Sure, plenty of Halloween costumes are at their most expensive now, but you can still find affordable options if you know where to look. “Shop last year’s inventory to get the lowest prices. Most stores have a clearly marked clearance section in store and online,” notes Howard Shaffer, vice president of Offers.com, on Kiplinger. “You can also save 30 to 40 percent off this year’s costumes if you wait to shop a day or two before Halloween. The selection will be gone, but the deals will be there. And, you can always shop online. Coupon codes will allow you to save even more on sale items and stack your savings.”

    1. Halloween costumes

  • “There are a lot of great deals on camping equipment in October,” Shaffer says. “It’s the end of camping season, and clearance sales are offering 60 to 70 percent off tents, summer hiking gear and fishing gear.” It figures that camping essentials are cheaper just when you’ve wrapped up your outdoor shenanigans. That’s often the nature of retail, though, and you can use it to your advantage. If your current camping supplies are looking a little rough, don’t wait until the peak buying season to buy. Instead, purchase discounted goods now and put them in storage for next year.

    2. Camping gear

  • Denim continues to be a hot buy this month, especially now that the back to school flurry of sales has died down and retailers are eager to keep sales up between now and the holidays. Denim is typically discounted by stores as a “get you in the door” maneuver in hopes that you’ll stick around and buy more stuff. In addition to finding sales in stores, look for online promotions.

    3. Denim

  • As car dealerships anticipate the new year, many are eager to sell both current and earlier models. “The clock is ticking on 2014, and dealers want to get rid of their new summer inventory,” reports Apartment Therapy. “Now that it’s October, the end of the year is in sight, and they are starting feeling the pressure.” If you can, wait to the end of the month — or the end of a promotion — to take advantage of car salesmen who are especially eager to make that sale.

    4. Cars

  • There are several jewelry buying lulls in the year. One of those is in early fall while everyone’s preoccupied with Halloween and back-to-school shopping, just before the major holiday push.

    5. Fine jewelry

  • New home appliances are released during the fall, which has retailers eager to move the old stuff off the showroom floor. Promotional sales are common, and you have more legroom to negotiate.

    6. Appliances

  • 7. Gardening and outdoor goods

  • More from Wendy Rose Gould:

Leave a Reply