Millennial Homeownership Ticked Up in Q2


The U.S. homeownership rate ticked up by 0.1
percentage point in the second quarter of 2017, to 63.7 percent. The rate,
which trended down for several years prior to the Great Recession and then
steadily thereafter, hit what is hoped will be its cyclical low in the second
quarter of 2016, 62.9 percent. Prior to the downturn, the rate peaked twice in
2004 at 69.2 percent.

The U.S. Census Bureau says there is some seasonality
in the homeownership rate, and when adjusted to reflect that, the most recent
number is 63.9 percent, 0.8 percentage points higher than the second quarter of
2016 but not statistically different from the first quarter of this year.

Homeownership is highest in the Midwest at 68.0 percent,
and lowest in the West at 58.9 percent. The rate rose slightly from quarter to
quarter in the Midwest and South, ticked down in the Northeast and West.

Homeownership among the younger cohorts has been of
special concern in recent years.  Always
lower than among older groups, homeownership among those under 35, the so-called
Millennials, dropped to a cyclical low of 34.1 percent in the second quarter of
last year, but has risen significantly since. 
The 35.3 percent reading in the second quarter of this year is 0.1 point
higher than the prior quarter.

The next older cohort, those 35 to 44 years of age,
did not fare as well. Their rate was at a low of 58.3 percent in in Q2 2016 and
has added one-half percentage point since. It dipped from 59.0 percent to 58.8
percent in the most recent quarter.

Homeownership among the oldest age group, those over
age 65, is always the highest, however it, as well as the rate among those 55
to 64 years old both ticked down in the second quarter, to 78.2 percent and
75.4 percent respectively.

Homeownership among minorities has also concerned
economists, as the stubbornly low rates among Black and Hispanic households may
not bode well for overall homeownership as the nation’s demographic mix
changes. The rate ticked down again for both groups from quarter to quarter,
with Black homeownership down from 42.7 percent 42.3 percent and Hispanic down
more than a full percentage point to 45.5 percent.  Both were up slightly year-over-year.

The Census Bureau’s second quarter Residential Vacancies and Homeownership
report also shows an increase in rental and a decrease in homeowner vacancies
from the first quarter to the second. The rental vacancy rate rose 0.3 percent
from the first quarter and 0.6 percentage point year-over-year to 7.3 percent.
The homeowner vacancy rate of 1.5 percent was 0.2 percentage point lower than
both earlier periods.

Nationally there were an estimated 17.2 million vacant
properties and 118.3 million that were occupied. Rental vacancies and homeowner
vacancies were highest in the South at 9.0 percent and 1.8 percent. They were
both lowest in the Northeast at 5.2 percent and 1.3 percent.

There were 3.2 million vacant units available for rent
and 1.3 million available for sale in the second quarter. The median asking
price for vacant rental units was $910 per month, the highest in census
records. The median asking price for vacant for-sale units was $177,200.  Pre-recession that number was over $200,000.  

Leave a Reply