on home improvements and remodeling have shown signs of a rebound and the
Remodeling Futures Program at the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies is
projecting that sector of the economy will end 2012 on a positive note.
Joint Center produces the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) each
quarter. It is designed to estimate
national homeowner spending on improvements for the current quarter and the
following three quarters. The indicator, measured as an annual rate-of-change
of its components, provides a short-term outlook of homeowner remodeling
activity and is intended to help identify future turning points in the business
cycle of the home improvement industry.
figures from the most recent quarter, the fourth quarter of 2011, showed an
estimated four-quarter moving total of $112.4 billion in home improvement
spending compared to $113.8 billion in the third quarter. This number is expected to dip further in the
first quarter of 2012, to $108.1 billion before starting to build at mid-year.
“Sales of existing homes have been increasing
in recent months, offering more opportunities for home improvement projects,”
says Kermit Baker, director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint
Center. “As lending institutions become less fearful of the real estate
sector, financing will become more readily available to owners looking to