New Home Sales Drop Sharply; Near 2 Year Lows

New home sales managed to pull out a gain last time they were reported.  The question was, with an improving inventory but rising interest rates,
could they do it again? Analysts were pessimistic, but not quite pessimistic enough.

Sales of newly constructed  homes fell in September by 5.5 percent to a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 553,000. Even worse news, the August
increase evaporated. Those sales were revised down from 629,000 to
585,000.  With those losses, sales fell
behind September 2017 by 13.2 percent and May remains the last month when sales

Analysts polled by Econoday had expected the Census
Bureau to report around 625,000 annual sales with a range of 610,000 to
640,000.  Econoday also noted that they
have seen signs of price discounting on the part of builders.

There were 41,000 newly constructed homes sold during
the month on an unadjusted basis compared to 46,000 in August.  There were 485,000 homes sold during
2018 through the end of September, a 3.5 percent improvement over the 469,000
sold during the same period in 2017.

The median price of a home sold during the month was
$320,000 and the average was $377,200. 
The sales prices in September 2017 were $331,500 and $379,300

At the end of the reporting period there were an
estimated 327,000 new homes available for sale. This is a 7.1 month supply at
the current rate of sales, up from 6.5 months in August. Marketing time for a
completed home was a median of 2.9 months for the second month in a row.

Sales of newly constructed homes in the Northeast
plummeted 40.6 percent and are now 51.3 percent lower on an annual basis.  The Midwest was the sole region where sales
increased, up 6.9 percent from August and 4.1 percent higher than a year
earlier. The South had a 1.5 percent decline in sales for the month and sales are
lagging last year by 11.4 percent.  Sales
in the West dropped by 12.0 percent and 15.8 percent compared to the two
earlier periods.

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